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2010 Longboat Key Real Estate Market Predictions

by Roger Pettingell

With the new year just around the corner I'm getting more and more questions about what I predict the market will do in the coming year.

I suspect the worst of the housing market is past us and the huge price drops we've seen in 2008 and 2009 are a thing of the past. Short sales will likely continue to rise as more homeowners are trying to save their credit by avoiding foreclosure. I wouldn't be surprised to see the government step in and pass legislation that requires banks to make drastic changes to their short sale processes which will streamline the loan modification, short sale, and perhaps even the foreclosure process for homeowners in distress. Those same banks may also begin holding on to more foreclosed properties and "flipping" them themselves to avoid the huge financial losses associated with foreclosing on a property and auctions.

Mortgage rates will most likely spike in March when the government puts an end to mortgage-backed securities. I expect that change will cause rates rates to go from the current 5% mark to around a 6% prime. The refinancing of properties will slow down en suite as the rates being offered will no longer be a substantial improvement for the majority of homeowners. Lenders will likely require significantly better credit scores to qualify for financing. My presage is that FICO scores will probably need to be around 700 for most  lending institutions.

Our local luxury markets will probably see less activity by potential sellers as more homeowners stay put waiting for the market to recover due to the higher mortgage rates compounding their losses. This will effectively cause a market stabilization because the decreased inventory in the Longboat Key and Sarasota communities will leave the buyers with less to choose from and in essence allow sellers to demand higher prices as the competition becomes more sparse.

If you have any questions about buying or selling in the 2010 real estate climate feel free to contact me and I'll be more than happy to speak with you at length about the opportunities available.

Should I Buy a Home Now?

by Roger Pettingell

I'm often asked if this is a good time to buy a home. Some clients are concerned that home prices may fall further than they have already. They are assuming that the best course of action is to wait for the bottom in the market and then buy. The problem with this approach is that you don't know where the bottom is until you see it in the rear view mirror, meaning until you've missed it!

Home prices are one factor in determining your cost of ownership, but so are interest rates and financing availability. Even though interest rates have gone up in the last six months, they are still near historic lows. Since your monthly mortgage payment is a combination of paying down your principal and paying the interest owed, if home prices come down a little further but interest rates up, it could cost you even more to service a mortgage on an identical home!

While a home is a major investment, it is also the center of your personal life. It's important to live in a home that reflects your taste and values, yet is within your financial "comfort zone." To that end, it may be more important to lock in today's relatively low interest rates and low home prices, rather than to hope for a further break in prices in the future.

Please give me a call if I can be of any assistance in determining how much home you can afford in today's market.

Displaying blog entries 381-382 of 382

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Roger Pettingell?

Experience

  • Over 33 years as a top producing REALTOR® on Longboat Key and in Sarasota.

Achievements

  • Number 1 single Coldwell Banker agent in all of Florida for 2008, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2017
  • Number 1 Realtor on Longboat Key and Bird Key for 2008, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018
  • Number 1 Realtor for all Sarasota in 2008, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018
  • Coldwell Banker Society of Excellence award in 2013, 2014 and 2016
  • Ranked among the top 250 agents in the country for 2014, 2016 and 2017 by REAL Trends as reported in the Wall Street Journal.

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About Roger Pettingell

Roger Pettingell of Coldwell Banker Residential Real Estate is your Longboat Key, Florida Luxury Real Estate Specialist. Roger provides his real estate expertise to sellers, investors, developers, and buyers in the Sarasota area including Anna Maria, Bird Key, Bradenton Beach, Casey Key, Cortez, Grand Bay, Holmes Beach, Longboat Key, Marina Bay, Osprey and Siesta Key. Search for homes, luxury homes, condominiums, investment property, development property, and vacant land and lots on the Longboat Key, Florida and the surrounding area.